Mike
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Scott Ritter makes a claim that, if true, reframes everything…
According to Ritter, Trump’s last-minute decision not to trigger an attack on Iran was not hesitation, but a deliberate move to dismantle a long-prepared regime-change operation involving Mossad, the CIA, and the usual neocon war hawks.
The way Ritter describes it, Trump allowed these actors to believe he was fully aligned with their objective. At Mar-a-Lago he came to an agreement with Netanyahu. He let them plan, activate networks and position assets. In other words, he let the operation reach the point of maximum exposure, and then, at the very last moment, he didn’t pull the trigger.
Iran, allegedly alerted by Russia (with Trump’s knowledge?) moved in time to dismantle the entire covert network. Assets were rolled up, communications were compromised, the entire infrastructure was destroyed. Finito.
Bear in mind, these kinds of intelligence networks take years, sometimes decades, to build, so once exposed, they don’t simply get rebuilt, the capability itself disappears.
So if this account holds, Trump didn’t just stop a regime-change operation in that moment. He removed the ability to carry one out in the foreseeable future, (at least under Israel’s terms).
But the genius of it doesn’t stop there…
By allowing the situation to escalate right up to the edge, Trump also forced Iran into believing an attack was imminent. And when a regime truly believes the moment has arrived, it reveals itself; emergency protocols get activated, military movements occur, communication pathways change and leadership protection mechanisms are triggered. In other words, Iran showed its hand.
That response; how they move, what they protect, what they prioritise, what they trigger, is priceless intelligence, which you only get it when the other side believes it’s real.
Israel and the intelligence hawks were allowed to overextend and expose their covert machinery. Iran was pressured into revealing its defensive response. No war was launched, no missiles fired, but the strategic balance changed completely.
If this was a carefully premeditated plan by Trump, as Ritter suggests, then it was nothing short of genius; warmongers were neutralised, the adversary was exposed, war was avoided and Trump walks away with all the leverage.
That’s strategic mastery, and it’s exactly why Trump continues to confound both his enemies and his supposed allies.
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Mike
Mijn reactie...
I have a slightly different theory. I agree with Scott that a Mossad network of sleeper cells which took decades to build was dismantled in only a few days. Once the Iranian govt. took down the internet and Starlink equipment either got seized or jamned (using Chinese technology) the Mossad operatives flew blind and were unable to communicate and coordinate their actions. Add to that a very unified populace that tipped off local authorities about these foreign agents and you have the perfect combination of civilians and govt. forces rounding up these Mossad cells.
Donald Trump fooled Netanyahu into thinking that he would fight Bibi's war for him, but as soon as the Mossad network was dismantled he decided against it. Bibi then panicked and told Trump to call off any attacks after the Iranian govt. stated that they would retaliate against not just Israeli targets but American bases in the region too. Bibi realized his fake country would be a sitting duck with no adequate Israeli or American defense capacity against Irananian missiles raining down on Israeli cities.
Where I differ from Scott's take is that to me it seems Iran is not considered an enemy by Trump but rather an ally. Why do I believe this? Think about the 12 day war in July of last year. According to Iranian sources they used only 5% of their missile capacity and they didn't even fire their most advanced weaponry. They also stated it would have taken 3 more days or Israel would have been completely defeated and destroyed.
Why did Trump wait until the last minute? Why didn't he jump to Israel's defense as soon as the first Iranian rockets landed on Israeli soil? Why did he alert Iran before he ordered strikes on two of Iran's nuclear sites so they could move everything to a different location? Why did Iran alert Trump ahead of their retalliation strike on the US base in Qatar? Seems to me they're working together.
Scott thinks Trump was able to gather vital intelligence about Iran's defense locations and capabilities, but I read this as not the slightest bit of interest in attacking Iran on the part of Trump. There's more to this than meets the eye. Everything is pointing to Iran crushing Israel militarily with Trump appearing to be on Israel's side while also appearing to be powerless to stop Iran. Me, I can't wait for this to happen, the sooner the better.
Mike